邢孝兵, 李莹洁. 人口老龄化对全球价值链地位的影响——基于中介效应的研究[J]. 《信阳师范学院学报(哲学社会科学版)》, 2022, 42(5): 38-44. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1003-0964.2022.05.007
引用本文: 邢孝兵, 李莹洁. 人口老龄化对全球价值链地位的影响——基于中介效应的研究[J]. 《信阳师范学院学报(哲学社会科学版)》, 2022, 42(5): 38-44. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1003-0964.2022.05.007
XING Xiaobing, LI Yingjie. The Impact of Aging Population on the Status of Global Value Chain——A Study Based on Intermediary Effect[J]. The journal of xinyang normal university (philosophy and social science edition), 2022, 42(5): 38-44. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1003-0964.2022.05.007
Citation: XING Xiaobing, LI Yingjie. The Impact of Aging Population on the Status of Global Value Chain——A Study Based on Intermediary Effect[J]. The journal of xinyang normal university (philosophy and social science edition), 2022, 42(5): 38-44. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1003-0964.2022.05.007

人口老龄化对全球价值链地位的影响——基于中介效应的研究

The Impact of Aging Population on the Status of Global Value Chain——A Study Based on Intermediary Effect

  • 摘要: 选取2000—2018年52个代表性国家的相关数据,研究了人口老龄化对一国全球价值链地位的影响及作用机制。研究结果表明,人口老龄化对该国全球价值链地位具有显著的负向影响。老龄化不利于技术创新,进而其对价值链地位产生负向影响;老龄化虽能促进产业结构升级,抵消一定的负向影响但抵消程度有限;老龄化能促进人力资本积累,但人力资本积累对价值链地位具有倒U型影响。

     

    Abstract: The relevant data of 52 representative countries from 2000 to 2018 are selected to study the impact and mechanism of aging population on the status of a country's global value chain. The findings suggest that aging population has a significant negative impact on the country's global value chain position. Aging is not conducive to technological innovation, which in turn has a negative impact on the position of the value chain; Although aging can promote the upgrading of industrial structure and offset certain negative impacts, the degree of offset is limited; Aging can promote the accumulation of human capital, and the accumulation of human capital has an inverted U-shaped impact on the status of the value chain.

     

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