区域差异视角下文旅新质生产力评价体系构建及测度研究

On the Construction of Evaluation Indices and Measurement of New Quality Productivity: a Perspective of Regional Disparities

  • 摘要: 基于2012—2023年中国29个省(自治区、直辖市)的面板数据,对各省份文旅新质生产力发展水平进行测算,并进一步采用空间莫兰指数、核密度估计、马尔可夫链及基尼系数分析其空间关联性、时空演进特征及区域差异。结果表明:在2012—2023年间全国及四大区域的文旅新质生产力水平整体上均呈上升趋势,但是区域差异显著,且在早期存在两极分化现象;东部—西部、东部—东北的区域间差异是我国文旅新质生产力水平不均衡的主要原因;各地区文旅新质生产力的发展水平不仅受到自身状态的制约,还受到邻地发展水平的影响。据此,建议挖掘文旅新质生产力水平较低的地区的地方特色,打造独特的文旅IP,避免同质化竞争,同时探索多地联合促销、统一品牌包装等合作模式,不断缩小区域间文旅新质生产力发展差距。

     

    Abstract: Using panel data from 29 provinces in China from 2012 to 2023, this research measures the development level of new-quality productivity in culture and tourism across China, and analyzes its spatial correlation, spatiotemporal evolution characteristics, and regional differences using Moran index, kernel density estimation, Markov chains as well as the Dagum Gini coefficient. The results show that the new-quality productivity level of culture and tourism at national and regional level both exhibit an overall upward trend in sample period. The inter-regional differences between the eastern-western and eastern-northeastern regions are the primary contributors to the imbalance in China's cultural-tourism productivity. Moreover, the development level in each region is constrained not only by its intrinsic conditions but also by the spillover effects from neighboring regions. Based on the above results, policymakers and relevant stakeholders should encourage those regions with lower new-quality productivity to leverage their local cultural-tourism characteristics, develop distinctive Ips, avoid homogeneous competition, and explore regional cooperation such as joint promotions and unified branding to narrow the developmental gaps in cultural-tourism productivity.

     

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