数字经济对绿色全要素生产率的影响研究——基于黄河流域与长江流域的实证分析
Research on the Impact of Digital Economy on Green Total Factor Productivity: an Empirical Analysis based on the Yellow River Basin and the Yangtze River Basin
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摘要: 推进数字经济发展和绿色可持续发展是中国现代化征程中实现经济高质量发展的重要举措。为了深入探讨数字经济的绿色效应,着重关注数字经济与绿色全要素生产率间的关系,基于2011—2022年中国城市面板数据,将黄河流域和长江流域的180个城市作为研究对象,运用SBM-GML模型和主成分分析法分别测度了两流域的绿色全要素生产率及数字经济发展水平,并通过双向固定效应模型、中介模型和门槛模型实证检验了数字经济对两流域绿色全要素生产率的影响效应以及影响途径。研究发现,数字经济对黄河流域和长江流域的绿色全要素生产率均有促进作用。机制分析表明,黄河流域数字经济的影响途径为产业结构升级,而长江流域数字经济的影响途径则为市场化水平提升。此外,环境规制强度对两流域的数字经济影响效应存在门槛效应,当环境规制强度越过第一个门槛值后,数字经济对绿色全要素生产率的赋能作用增强,而跨越第二道门槛值后赋能作用降低。为此,各地区应在完善数字经济治理体系和制度保障的基础上,有序推进产业结构升级和市场化水平提升,制定合理的环境保护政策,为提升地区绿色全要素生产率,实现经济高质量发展提供坚实支撑。Abstract: Promoting the development of the digital economy and green sustainability is a crucial measure for achieving high-quality economic growth in China’s modernization journey. To delve into the green effects of the digital economy, with a focus on its impact on green total factor productivity (GTFP), a study was conducted using panel data from Chinese cities from 2011 to 2022. The study focused on 180 cities in the Yellow River and Yangtze River basins. The SBM-GML model and principal component analysis were employed to measure the green total factor productivity and the level of digital economic development in both basins. A two-way fixed effect model, mediation model, and threshold model were utilized to empirically examine the effects of the digital economy on GTFP in the two basins, along with its pathways of influence. The study found that the digital economy promotes GTFP in both the Yellow River and Yangtze River basins. Mechanism analysis revealed that the digital economy’s influence in the Yellow River basin is through the optimization and upgrading of the industrial structure, whereas, in the Yangtze River basin, it is through the enhancement of marketization levels. Additionally, the intensity of environmental regulation has a threshold effect on the digital economy’s impact on GTFP in both basins. When the intensity of environmental regulation surpasses the first threshold value, the empowering effect of the digital economy on GTFP strengthens; however, once it exceeds the second threshold value, the effect diminishes. Therefore, regions should focus on enhancing digital economy governance systems and institutional support, orderly advancing industrial structure upgrades and marketization levels, and formulating reasonable environmental protection policies to provide solid support for boosting GTFP and achieving high-quality economic development.