中国与“一带一路”沿线国家贸易潜力研究——基于贸易成本角度

Research on Trade Potential between China and Countries along The Belt and Road——Based on Trade Costs

  • 摘要: 通过引力模型分析中国与"一带一路"沿路国家贸易潜力,得出以下结论:中国与东盟属于潜力扩展型和巨大型;与西方部分发达国家、东亚、南亚、西亚、中东欧和非洲相关国家和地区属于潜力扩展型;与独联体和中亚属于潜力再造型和扩展型。根据贸易潜力指数分析结果,提出了以下政策建议:一是提升与"一带一路"沿线国家基础设施互联互通水平;二是要打造更多贸易促进平台;三是与有意愿的国家(地区)探讨自由贸易区的建设;四是要创新贸易投资合作方式;五是持续推进贸易投资便利化。

     

    Abstract: This paper analyzes the trade potentiality between China and the countries along "the Belt and Road" by gravity model,and draws the following conclusions:China and ASEAN belong to the type of expansion and giant potentiality; China and developed countries, Japan, South Asia, West Asia, Central and Eastern Europe, Africa belong to the type of expansion potentiality; China and CIS and Central Asia belong to the type of remodel and expansion potentiality. Some policy suggestions are put forward based on the analysis of trade potential index. First of all, to improve the level of infrastructure connectivity with the countries along "the Belt and Road". Secondly, to create more trade promotion platforms. Thirdly, to explore the construction of free trade area with willing countries (regions). Fourthly, it is necessary to innovate the mode of trade and investment cooperation. Fifthly, to continue to promote trade and investment facilitation.

     

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