王敏杰. 国际贸易隐含碳排放网络格局演化及其影响因素研究[J]. 《信阳师范学院学报(哲学社会科学版)》, 2020, 40(5): 19-26. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1003-0964.2020.05.004
引用本文: 王敏杰. 国际贸易隐含碳排放网络格局演化及其影响因素研究[J]. 《信阳师范学院学报(哲学社会科学版)》, 2020, 40(5): 19-26. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1003-0964.2020.05.004
WANG Minjie. Research on the Evolution of Carbon Emissions Embodied in International Trade Network and Its Determinants[J]. The journal of xinyang normal university (philosophy and social science edition), 2020, 40(5): 19-26. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1003-0964.2020.05.004
Citation: WANG Minjie. Research on the Evolution of Carbon Emissions Embodied in International Trade Network and Its Determinants[J]. The journal of xinyang normal university (philosophy and social science edition), 2020, 40(5): 19-26. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1003-0964.2020.05.004

国际贸易隐含碳排放网络格局演化及其影响因素研究

Research on the Evolution of Carbon Emissions Embodied in International Trade Network and Its Determinants

  • 摘要: 文章运用社会网络分析方法建立了国际贸易隐含碳排放网络,考察了从2005年至2015年网络格局的演化情况,并运用QAP方法分析了其影响因素。从网络特征看,各国间隐含碳排放流量分布呈现长尾特征,世界贸易隐含碳排放网络具有无标度网络特征。从网络格局演变情况看,中国和印度等新兴经济体的网络中心性不断提升,而主要发达经济体则有所下降。隐含碳排放网络关系的主要影响因素是贸易规模和能源结构差异;两国间空间临近关系和物流通关能力对隐含碳排放关系有一定影响。中国在控制贸易隐含碳排放规模方面面临巨大压力,在联合国气候谈判中应高度重视转移排放问题,对内注重改造和提升加工贸易,加速低碳转型的力度,提高能源利用效率。

     

    Abstract: On the basis of measuring the scale of carbon emissions embodied in trade of 62 countries (regions), we established networks of carbon emissions embodied in trade by using social network analysis method, examined patterns of the networks from 2005 to 2015, and analyzed the determinants the networks by using QAP method. We found that, first of all, from the perspective of network characteristics, the global distribution of carbon emissions embodied in trade among countries (regions) has a long tail feature, and the networks have scale-free and small-world properties. Second, emerging economies such as China and India became increasingly network-centric, while developed economies were demoted. Thirdly, the main determinants of the network relationships are trade scale and energy structure differences. The spatial proximity among countries and the ability of logistics clearance have a certain impact on embodied carbon emissions. The results show that China is under great pressure to control the scale of embodied carbon emissions in trade. China should attach great importance to carbon emissions transfer in UN climate negotiations, pay attention to the transformation and upgrading of processing trade, accelerate the efforts of low-carbon transformation, and improve the efficiency of energy utilization.

     

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